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The protection of families shall be regulated by a cardinal Act. These changes were largely a surprise to many Hungarians, who are not, according to public surveys , an extremely religious or family-oriented people; in fact, Hungary has the third highest religiously unaffiliated population share in central and eastern Europe. But while it may have been a surprise, once implemented, constitutions can be hard to undo.
Indeed, if anything, desired childbearing in Hungary is falling! The last data point I could find is in , but at least at that time, desired fertility was continuing its steady slope downwards.
And marriage makes childbearing much more likely among the vast majority of women who desire to have kids. Beyond the direct natality incentive, these policies may induce more marriages, and with more marriages, you get more births of all kinds, including first and second kids, despite the much smaller CSOK subsidies than what is offered for a third child. The government is spending huge amounts of money and will probably never reach replacement-rate with this strategy.
However, Hungary is experiencing some fertility gains, probably at least partly as a result of a basket of policy changes including tax preferences, cash grants, loan subsidies, constitutional protections, and costly political signaling. But to the extent these policies are working, they are effective because they are not being used in isolation, but rather together as a whole concert of pro-natal policies and cultural nudges.
And they are working because they induce marriage , not simply childbearing, and marriage helps boost long-run fertility, not just birth-timing. Sign up for our mailing list to receive ongoing updates from IFS.
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The Institute for Family Studies is a c 3 organization. Your donation will be tax-deductible. Highlights Print Post. Category: Fertility , Public Policy. But with all that money being spent, we may wonder: is it having any impact? Culture May Matter There may be something else at work here: a marriage boom. First Name.
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The Clock of Ages: Why We Age, How We Age, Winding Back the Clock
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The Clock of Ages: Why We Age-- How We Age-- Winding Back the Clock by John Medina
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